Make CRPS underlay figure

Make CRPS underlay figure

Usage

make_fig3_crps_underlay_fig(
  scores,
  loc_to_plot,
  horizon_to_plot,
  horizon_days_ahead,
  days_to_shift = 0
)

Arguments

scores

A tibble of scores by location, forecast date, date and model, containing the outputs of scoringutils::score() on samples plus metadata transformed into a tibble.

loc_to_plot

A string indicating the state abbreviations of the state to plot

horizon_to_plot

A string indicating what horizon period to plot, one of nowcast, 1 wk, or 4 wks

horizon_days_ahead

An integer corresponding to the horizon days to plot

days_to_shift

An integer corresponding to the number of days to shift the x axis of the underly plot to line up with the corresponding forecast horizon, default is 0

Value

A ggplot object containing a bar chart of the crps score averaged across the horizon for each forecast date, colored by the model type